N Tuesday, May 21, 2013
   
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Tropics Update: Sunday Morning Notes on Tropical Storms Kirk and Leslie

tropics-image-09-02-2012-amAt 5am Sunday, Tropical Storm Kirk continued was located in the central Atlantic about 710 miles east-southeast of the Cape Race, Newfoundland.

T.S. Kirk is moving to the northeast at 32 mph and this general motion is expected to continue during the next day or so with an increase in forward speed.  The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center keeps Kirk racing over the open Atlantic.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 50 mph, and further weakening is forecast as it loses its tropical characteristics and merges with a frontal system later today.

At 5 am, Tropical Storm Leslie was located about 295 miles north-northeast of the Leeward Islands.

Leslie remains a strong tropical storm with maximum sustained winds near 70 mph.  Although little change in strength is forecast for the next couple of days, there is a 45% chance that Leslie could become a hurricane within the next 5 days.

Computer models are in good agreement and they, as well as the official forecast from the National Hurricane Center, forecast a general northwest movement towards the Leeward Islands through the next 3 days before turning northward this week.

Elsewhere, an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms about 1125 miles northwest of the Cape Verde Islands has a 10% chance of developing within the next 48 hours.

Florida outlook:

T.S. Kirk will have no direct impact to Florida. Large ocean swells, however, may reach the Atlantic Coast as early as Monday and generate an elevated risk for rip currents.

T.S. Leslie is also not forecast to directly impact Florida at this time.

More information on Tropical Storms Kirk and Leslie can be found at www.nhc.noaa.gov.

Click here to view storm related graphics and images.  Another update will be issued Sunday evening.

Michelle Palmer
Deputy State Meteorologist
Florida Division of Emergency Management
www.FloridaDisaster.org

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