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Tropics Update: Evening Report for Earl, Fiona, Gaston and Eastern Atlantic Tropical Wave

sept-2-10-storms-image-2At 5pm Thursday, large and powerful Hurricane Earl was located about 410 miles east-northeast of Jacksonville, Florida, or about 185 miles south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 115mph, but Earl is still a major Category 3 hurricane. Continued gradual weakening is expected, but Earl will remain large and strong during the next 24 hours as it passes the outer banks of North Carolina.

Earl is moving north near 18mph and is forecast to pass just east, within 100 miles, of the North Carolina coastline tonight and early Friday, then move northeast, passing within a few hundred miles east of the northern Mid-Atlantic and New England coastlines Friday and Saturday. There is a chance that Earl will pass within 100 miles of Nantucket, Massachusetts, early Saturday morning.

Ocean swells from Earl are currently impacting Florida beaches and will likely persist into the weekend, especially along the Northeast and East Central Florida coast.

At 5pm Thursday, Tropical Storm Fiona continued to have maximum winds near 50mph while located 475 miles south-southwest of Bermuda, or about 860 miles east of Miami, Florida.

Fiona should gradually weaken over the next 3 days while moving north, passing just west of Bermuda late Friday/early Saturday.

At 11am Thursday, Tropical Storm Gaston was downgraded to a tropical depression, weakened further during the day and at 5pm Thursday, was designated a remnant area of low pressure.

Remnant Low Gaston is currently more than 2,770 miles from Miami, Florida.

Maximum winds are now near 30 mph. Despite previous forecasts of a stronger system, the official forecast calls for very little change is strength during the next 4-5 days. However, some models suggest that Gaston could regenerate into a tropical depression or storm next week as it nears the Leeward Islands.

Until regeneration (if any) occurs, the National Hurricane Center has discontinued advisories on Gaston.  

No part of Florida is currently in the error cone of impact for any current storm.

The tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic just off the west coast of Africa still lacks in organization despite the large area of associated showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible over the next few days, but there is currently only a 10% chance of becoming a tropical depression within the next 48 hours.

Additional information can be found at www.nhc.noaa.gov

Click here to view the detailed storm graphics.

Amy Godsey
State Meteorologist
Florida Division of Emergency Management
(850) 617-9121
www.FloridaDisaster.org

 


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