Written by Michelle Palmer, Deputy State Meteorologist, FDEM Sunday, 27 May 2012 18:01
As of 5pm, Tropical Storm Beryl was located about 85 miles east-southeast of Jacksonville, Florida.
Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect from the Volusia and Brevard County line through South Carolina and also for Madison, Lafayette, Inland Taylor, Inland Dixie, Baker, Clay and Putnam, Bradford and Union Counties in Northeast Florida.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph and little change in strength is forecast before the storm makes landfall. After that time, Beryl is expected to weaken and may become a Tropical Depression by Monday night.
Beryl is moving toward the west at 10 mph. The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center shows Beryl making landfall within the Warning area sometime later today or tonight. Beryl is then expected to move through Northeast Florida, stall somewhere near the I-75/I-10 Corridor and then turn toward the northeast ahead of an approaching cold front late Monday or early Tuesday.
The greatest threat with this system continues to be the threat for heavy rainfall. Rainfall amounts are forecast to reach up to 4-8 inches across Northeast Florida, with locally heavier amounts up to 12 inches possible. 2-4 inches will also be possible across portions of the Florida Big Bend. A Flood Watch is currently in effect for Hamilton, Suwannee, Columbia, Baker, Nassau, Duval, Union, Bradford, St, Johns, and Clay Counties through Tuesday morning and for Jefferson, Taylor, Madison, Lafayette and Dixie Counties until late Monday night.
Coastal flooding of risk-prone areas is possible due to tidal effects and storm surge. Currently, 2 to 4 feet of storm surge is possible near and to the north of where Beryl eventually makes landfall.
Rough surf with wave heights up to 10-12 feet offshore and near 6-8 feet near the coast will be possible. Additionally, there is a high risk for rip currents through Monday from Nassau County through Martin County and a moderate risk along the rest of the Atlantic Coast, from Palm Beach County through Miami-Dade County.
Tropical Storm force winds will also be possible today and tonight across Northeast Florida. Winds are forecast to reach up to 30-40 mph with gusts to 55 mph. These strongest winds are expected to be along the immediate coastline. For inland counties in the path of the storm, winds may reach up to 25-35 mph, with gusts to 45 mph. The highest winds will generally be east of the I-75 Corridor in Northeast Florida. These conditions will be most prevalent tonight, but some stronger winds may linger into Monday.
Click here to view Tropical Storm Beryl weather graphics. Another update will be issued Monday morning.
For more information, please visit the National Hurricane Center at www.nhc.noaa.gov, the Jacksonville National Weather Service Office at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/, the Melbourne National Weather Service Office at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/, or the Tallahassee National Weather Service Office at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tlh/.
Deputy State Meteorologist
Florida Division of Emergency Management
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